Anthropic Staff Expect AI to Do 75% of Their Work by 2030

Oct 17, 2026
Anthropic staff expect AI capabilities, workplace use and productivity gains to advance faster than US adults do, according to an August 2026 survey.

A research report from Anthropic finds that its staff expect AI to be able to do 75% of their current work by 2030 on average, compared with 28% for US workers overall. Staff also expect AI capabilities to advance faster than US adults do. By 2030, 91% of staff expect AI to make a discovery worthy of a Nobel Prize, compared with 39% of US adults.

Staff also reported larger productivity gains. Among Anthropic employees, 59% said a task suited to AI takes one quarter of the usual time or less, compared with 26% of US adults who use AI at work.

More than half of Anthropic staff expect AI to perform at least 80% of their current work by 2030. Only 5% of US workers expect that level of exposure. In both groups, respondents who expected AI to perform more of their work also forecast higher unemployment.

Morning Consult surveyed 10,980 US adults from August 11 to 23, 2026, with responses weighted to represent the adult population. Anthropic separately surveyed 1,334 staff members from August 9 to 12. The staff responses represent personal expectations rather than company forecasts.

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